Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

J2EEDeveloper · 01-06-2010, 07:28 PM

Thanks for the clarification. I watched a YouTube video clip of a race you handicapped, noticed you started with the top APV/CR, then (much to my surprise) entered all or most of the entries as possible contenders. I started doing the same thing, it worked well for awhile, then I hit a couple of races in which entering low APV/CR entries tweaked the ratings (what used to be called "cheap speed"--fast fractions and final times at a lower grade race). That is, the entries had high TE, but were "apparently not competitive at today's class level."

In reading and re-reading the Follow Up issues, there are repeated references to only entering true contenders, with 5 or possibly 6 being normal. I have no conceptual issue with entering every horse and letting the application do the sorting. TE is a value tightly associated with the sum of the fractional fps rates; that puts cheap speed high on the TE rankings. I'm curious if there is some (approximate?) way to distinguish contenders and non-contenders using the APV/CR when those entries rate high on TE.
Thanks

01-06-2010, 07:28 PM	#3
J2EEDeveloper AlwNW1X Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 16	Apv/cr Thanks for the clarification. I watched a YouTube video clip of a race you handicapped, noticed you started with the top APV/CR, then (much to my surprise) entered all or most of the entries as possible contenders. I started doing the same thing, it worked well for awhile, then I hit a couple of races in which entering low APV/CR entries tweaked the ratings (what used to be called "cheap speed"--fast fractions and final times at a lower grade race). That is, the entries had high TE, but were "apparently not competitive at today's class level." In reading and re-reading the Follow Up issues, there are repeated references to only entering true contenders, with 5 or possibly 6 being normal. I have no conceptual issue with entering every horse and letting the application do the sorting. TE is a value tightly associated with the sum of the fractional fps rates; that puts cheap speed high on the TE rankings. I'm curious if there is some (approximate?) way to distinguish contenders and non-contenders using the APV/CR when those entries rate high on TE. Thanks