Friday night at Delta Downs, I hit a 5 furlong race with an FPLR horse that was also a tandem race. The same thing happened on Friday in a race from TP. I have noticed in the short time I have been using FPLR that if the race is a tandem, the winner frequently comes from that race.
In addition, horses that are far back and close against the FPLR are not good plays. They benefit from the fast pace. Horses that are trying to keep up with the pace are better bets the next time out. You'll notice in the FPLR race that the 5 and 7 are trying to keep up while the 2 is a deep closer. You'll see that the 5 and 7 are virtually dead even through the first two calls. Then the 7 stops and the 5 keeps going. Friday, the 7 was 43/1 and the 5 was 3/2. No brainer.
Here is the rdss screenshot. I used the FPLR lines for the tandem and logical lines for the other contenders.
Here is the result chart:
FPLR is not a secret. Most of these horses pay 8/5 to 3/1. However, I have seen a couple of 9/1 shots and this horse here in the last couple of weeks so there are some good prices out there.
I played this race at my local OTB and got a little excited when the horse came in which got me out of a slump. I should have kept my mouth shut. A greyhound player tried to educate me to the 3 and 7 dog the rest of the night!
Tim