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Nice analysis, Richie. And it sure makes it easy to follow along when you insert all those screen shots.
I also played this race and used corollary support, but of a different kind.
You and I have different contenders and pacelines (what else is new :>)
Based on my BL/BL screen, #7 Don'twait Toolong looks like a clear winner with a 5 point BL/BL spread over the second choice.
However, one of the first things I noticed was courtesy of Bill Varone. #1 Blazen is a "Binder Improver" -- He is ranked fourth on the BL/BL screen, but he is listed as "2" under VDC. So, he goes fourth to second. That's the Binder Improver.
The corollary support I used for this was my Gulfstream Park model.
According to my model for this type of race: 100% of all winners are ranked first or second in VDC and SPN. Only two horses fit that here: #7 and #1.
Incidental support: 100% of winners have an ESP of "S" or "L". The E/L range is from -6.0 to -29.6.
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