Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - My first RDSS handicapping sessions. Yikes!!

Cincyhorseplayer · 04-01-2010, 02:33 AM

I have never used RDSS so I can't say one way or the other.

But I do know that picking through past performances,especially this time of the year and up north you are running into a lot of layoff horses and offtracks.

I find that when you can't isolate many current pacelines as relevant(because of offtracks,extreme surface variants),pace handicapping is only relevant as to predicting a probable pace.At least IMO.

Learning on a lot of these winter tracks it's useful to know the track profiles and often biases as they are so shifty this time of the year.Catching them before everyone else does is key.I have hit a lot of bombs at Beulah in the winter like this.But overall if you cannot predict the way a race will be run the results are often chaos.

I'd use profile,probable pace,and solid form & condition handicapping to remedy races that cannot be grasped by pure mathematics.

04-01-2010, 02:33 AM	#4
Cincyhorseplayer AlwNW3X Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 45	I have never used RDSS so I can't say one way or the other. But I do know that picking through past performances,especially this time of the year and up north you are running into a lot of layoff horses and offtracks. I find that when you can't isolate many current pacelines as relevant(because of offtracks,extreme surface variants),pace handicapping is only relevant as to predicting a probable pace.At least IMO. Learning on a lot of these winter tracks it's useful to know the track profiles and often biases as they are so shifty this time of the year.Catching them before everyone else does is key.I have hit a lot of bombs at Beulah in the winter like this.But overall if you cannot predict the way a race will be run the results are often chaos. I'd use profile,probable pace,and solid form & condition handicapping to remedy races that cannot be grasped by pure mathematics.