Quote:
Originally Posted by noddub62
My favorite tracks are the lower class tracks as I feel that they are where you can find good longshots. i.e. pen, ded, evd, ct. My favorite track is lone star - I'm only 15 minites away but seems like a lot favs win.
I think that the advise in the previous posts are very good advice. However the best advice that I could give is get very good at picking pace lines, learn wagercapping and don't be afraid to pass, pass, pass if there is no value.
Oh, and practice, practice, practice.
Welcome to the site and good luck.
Bud
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I just happened to come across and article on the DRF site that said last year at Lone Star "there were 261 winning favorites over the 616 races run, for a 42 percent strike rate" (win rate), a phenomenally high percentage of winning favorites!
On average about 33% of all races are won by favorites and another 25% are won by second choices. The majority of second choices pay less than 5/2. For those looking for value, this only leaves 42% of all races with which to find a winner with value.
If the second choices at Lone Star won anywhere near that average, there was VERY LITTLE room for those looking for value. Of course, those stats could completely turn around this year.