Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - Hollywood

PeteC · 05-14-2010, 02:46 PM

Hi Rich-

I worked the Hollywood races for tonight and I liked this one...

In looking at the early pace I focused on two horses:

#1 fought for 2 calls then took the lead before tiring a bit to third place by 1 length vs a fast 22.0 44.2. Scanning down further I see it has won from third position and run a close second from 9th at the 1c.

#12 is the only other early in the race. He fought for the lead in 22.1 but then lost position and lengths to a slow 45.3 second call! When he won he was on the lead vs 45.1 so that last race also looks like to me what you describe as "becoming a slow horse". My feel is that this one won't be able to push #1 for too long. Even if it does run faster tonight, #1 has shown the ability to win without the early lead.

I'll take #1 Tribul Witch.

05-14-2010, 02:46 PM	#4
PeteC Grade 1 Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 611	Hi Rich- I worked the Hollywood races for tonight and I liked this one... In looking at the early pace I focused on two horses: #1 fought for 2 calls then took the lead before tiring a bit to third place by 1 length vs a fast 22.0 44.2. Scanning down further I see it has won from third position and run a close second from 9th at the 1c. #12 is the only other early in the race. He fought for the lead in 22.1 but then lost position and lengths to a slow 45.3 second call! When he won he was on the lead vs 45.1 so that last race also looks like to me what you describe as "becoming a slow horse". My feel is that this one won't be able to push #1 for too long. Even if it does run faster tonight, #1 has shown the ability to win without the early lead. I'll take #1 Tribul Witch.