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Only dedicated front runner is maiden winner in last, #7, in very slow time. Not enthusiastic about that at all.
With all due respect Mike, i want to look closer at #2. Only 1 dirt route in slop, but was on lead and faded badly. Line 1 on turf was an attempt at a wire job but just missed. And I do not have a good turf to poly understanding at WO, but projecting to 8.5f in last would be 142.8 losing by about half L. Line two projected at 6.4/half furlong and adding two ticks to the internals shows losing by 1 in a final time of 143.7 pressing from 5th to 2nd while closing. So this one does not need lead but may get a BIG lead by default. The 2 beat the 1-9-4 in tandem handily.
The 3 is probably the FPLR running 7F in 1.22.9 losing by a neck. Projected pace and times are 46-110.6-123.1 and 142.3, closing 6-2-2 positionally and 6.5-2-nk otherwise. Has closed well in lines 2 and 4 and beat 4 and 9 in separate tandems, losing to he 6 in tandem 8 by 1/2 length. If I matched the 3 vs two off of sprints, I'd take the 3.
The 6 in last closed 11-3.7-4.1 against the fastest route pace in this field 46.7-111.6-143.6 losing by 5.8 L - could/should be closer today. Runs closer against slower paces than today and got run down by #3.
I take 3 to win, with 2 and 6 in exacta positions and maybe a smidge on the 2 as a 2nd win candidate.
Good luck to the gamblers,
Bill
I think
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