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Old 07-27-2010, 12:31 PM   #2
Ted Craven
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 9,258
See below.

Quote:
Originally Posted by pktruckdriver View Post
Okay working on trying to model Saratoga, but a couple of questiobs please

Muddy days forget?? You mean today's races are muddy, or the paceline you chose to represent the horse was marked 'muddy' ?

It strikes me that it's more important to know how a horse responds in mud than to filter out winners of muddy races from your model. If mud winners won having #1 or #2 LPR and HE on dirt just as much as dry winners, why exclude them from your model?

If a horse today runs to your model when dry, but worse when wet, then its mud line(s) probably best represent it today.


Only take the winners line in the export ? Yes, for a WIN decision model

Now if you did not play the race, would you choose the winners Paceline for the race you did not play and include it with your model? YES. Finding contenders to bet on is independent of whether a bet should be made.

Keep it simple
Dirt-Sprint
Dirt-Route
Turf-Sprint
Turf-Route

Good enough to start.

Seems simple enough, am I missing anything, other than Excell, as I downloaded Open Office, does anyone use this and does it work just fine?

Now export is a cut and paste easy thing to do, but the info will definetly be worht every effort you make, right?

Thank everyone

Patrick

PS: Guess I could try MS Office for 90 days free trial , it gives me Excell in it for 90 days does it not, or is it only part of the real program, until you actually buy it, I heard that, not sure if true?

Activate it and see. What's the downside? Google for any limitations to the Trial version (e.g. can you Save data?)
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