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Old 08-12-2010, 04:55 PM   #8
alydar_ David
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,654
My 7f track model contains four races for the entire Saratoga meet to date. I did not include any maiden races, races on tracks listed other than fast nor the graded stakes race. I also did not include today's fifth race because #10 Heritage Hall only had two lifetime starts and I require all entrants to have at least three rateable North American races to qualify for my model.

Note, I don't include these races in my model. That doesn't mean I don't bet them. Kindly observe the distinction.

The four race winners have a very narrow energy distribution window (see the image below).

In addition 100% of those races were won by horses who were either first or second in the following categories.

POH -- TE F1 SC
POR -- TE F2 SC TS
Primary -- EPR FX
Pace Potential -- E/EP
CBL -- F1 SC
SUP -- Frl-E
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