Quote:
Originally Posted by alydar_David
Let's check %Med:
#5 is close, but doesn't quite fit
#7 doesn't fit
Let's check E/L:
#7 is way too late
#3 is just outside the range, but I wouldn't toss her on this alone
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Nice job!
Personally, I agree with all your line selections EXCEPT for the 7 horse.
Personally, I would have eliminated the horse for not having a line in the last 90 days at a similar distance AND surface.
You eliminated the 7 horse because its’ median energy “didn’t fit” your model and also because its’ E/L was “way too late”. The reason for that median energy and E/L comes from your use of a turf race. I think if you had to use the 7 horse, using line 6 would give you a different median energy and E/L number. Not that you would play the 7 horse, but it would give you a better perspective on the horse given that today’s race is on the dirt.