Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - Hat,s "MATCH-UP" My way

JEFF KENT · 08-20-2010, 04:20 AM

Overextension in a comeback race off of A 60+ day layoff,then a quick
2nd back raceback, in less 4 weeks is a big negative.
From what I have seen in the last 5,000+ similar scenarios,nationwide.
Number-1 silver stetson would have been the match-up pick but
his running lines that were superior to lil dumanis lines,were very unlikely
to be duplicated,hence Lil dumani was the match-up pick with the correct
early positional+velocity tendencies. Baffert knows better but the owner
was probably pushing him. Allways use what has worked for the last 1,000 + races that is why I scan all worked races and keep them on a hard disk.
One sure sign of a non winning capper is one that throws his work away
at the end of the day,unless you have a memory like that guy, that
was from Tulsa with the big cowboy hat.

08-20-2010, 04:20 AM	#8
JEFF KENT LONE FRONTRUNNER Join Date: Mar 2007 Location: SO CAL CIRCUIT Posts: 58	2nd off of lay-off,s Overextension in a comeback race off of A 60+ day layoff,then a quick 2nd back raceback, in less 4 weeks is a big negative. From what I have seen in the last 5,000+ similar scenarios,nationwide. Number-1 silver stetson would have been the match-up pick but his running lines that were superior to lil dumanis lines,were very unlikely to be duplicated,hence Lil dumani was the match-up pick with the correct early positional+velocity tendencies. Baffert knows better but the owner was probably pushing him. Allways use what has worked for the last 1,000 + races that is why I scan all worked races and keep them on a hard disk. One sure sign of a non winning capper is one that throws his work away at the end of the day,unless you have a memory like that guy, that was from Tulsa with the big cowboy hat.