[clore1030]

I use RDSS in combination with a Decision Model. I have a fairly rigid method of determining pace lines and use the TE, DCL and primary factors (plus BL/BL) in my model.

By distance, I look for price when top rated factors are apparent. I just a few minutes ago caught a 26 dollar horse at Aqueduct. At 7 furlongs, Turntime was the primary factor in my model - 67% winners. I'm such a discerning spot player that this was my first wager at Aqueduct so far this meet.

In the fifth race today, my model says to bet the 6 horse. The top categories so far at AQU at six furlongs have been DCL, LPR and HID, all hitting at 67% so far this meet. It just so happens that the 6 horse is number one in each of those categories and he's going off at a 15/1 morning line. I've passed on races where a different horse might be top-rated in each of those three categories, too much guesswork.

This method of mine was determined after much trial and error, and while I'm a single horse bettor, I haven't had a losing meet in a year-and-a-half. I had one Belmont meet where I only managed 22% winners but managed a profit as I was getting decent prices.

In doing things as I do, I may be in violation of many of the Sartin guidelines, but in the end, it's my money on the line. I've gotten flack from some around here who are perhaps a bit too in awe of certain practitioners, but I go with my own plan. I'm still using Sartin-methodology based tools, I've just adapted them to the way that my own brain analyzes the data and my own wallet is comfortable. If I lose, I have no one but myself to blame. What I've come up with is based on my own "mind's eye" of what I've researched, but RDSS has been a heaven-sent tool because it's sensibly priced and it's design made it easier for to to discover what works for me.

As to your mom Ted, and the claim that "she only does what I tell her part of the time anyway" endears her to me even more. If she's discovering something that works for her, she's my kind of thinker.

EDITED TO ADD
My 6 horse in the fifth ran a fast-closing second and while I lost the wager, I'm content that my adaptation of the method did accomplish part of its original intention - it puts me on live horses at decent prices.