12-23-2010, 12:13 PM
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#6
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Grade 1
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: pittsburgh, now! Lancaster, CA.
Posts: 2,531
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Quote:
Originally Posted by For The Lead
Well, in some races, throwing a dart ends up looking like a good idea!
Seriously though, Turfway is no different than any other track. You keep your “track profiles” and “decision models” and, in my opinion, keep them on a “narrow” basis rather than a “broad” basis, that is to say, separating them by more than just distance and surface.
Like many other people who have, over the years, attended Sartin Seminars and had the opportunity to talk to “Doc”, “Hat” or other handicapping luminaries, I had the opportunity to talk with Tom Brohamer many years ago. For those who may not know, a “decision model” is actually the “Brohamer Model”, named after him because he was its’ founder. It was on his advice that I started keeping “track profiles” and “decision (Brohamer) models” on a very narrow basis. It is for this reason that I play tracks with long meets. In the short term meets, like SAR, DMR as well as many others, keeping model as Brohamer suggested just doesn’t work. The short meets do not allow you to gather enough information in each model to make them worthwhile.
At this point in time, 3 weeks into the Turfway winter/spring meet, I am still watching, with little or no betting, while building profiles and models.
Actually, the only reason I decided to watch Turfway was because MNR will be shutting down in a week or so for about three months. So I chose Turfway to fill the void until MNR re-opens.
Good luck to all.
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for the lead
MNR---> jan and feb dark. or did things change and mnr went to 3 mos.?
hey but PEN starts to run on mondays and tuesdays again WOO HOO!
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