View Single Post
Old 02-26-2011, 12:06 PM   #8
SilentRun
Grade 1 Aspiree
 
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 678
Prx r5

OK guys here's my 2 cents for whatever it is worth...........I also like the #8 horse, the lone early runner coming back in 6 days after
keeping up .5 of a length to the lead horse to the stretch. I used a route line but the horse has won 3 x's at the distance.
But there is a red flag as RDSS shows that the median% has been increasing over the last 3 races..69.5%, 70.3% and 70.4%.
But nevertheless I still like the #8.

The #2 showed some life in its last race finishing 2nd but that was 52 days ago and only had a 3F workout 10 days ago.
I think something was not right with the horse after his last race otherwise if the horse was showing good form why not race him sooner ?
So I think the trainer is bringing him back slowly.

The other horse that projects early is the #3 and is dropping from 7.5 to 5 after his last race.
Seems the horse has lost his competetiveness at 7.5..may be a negative class drop but the expected high odds could justify a bet.

Can't say if I would play this one but my picks are 3 and 8.

Ernie
Attached Images
  
SilentRun is offline   Reply With Quote