Thread: 14Apr-GP E/L2
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Old 04-15-2011, 02:41 PM   #7
Bill Lyster
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Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar"
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Mike:

Starting with the horse with the highest % you add the percentages until they exceed 62% and then add one more horse. The last horse added is designated the "Swing" horse. Then, USING ONLY HORSES USED IN CALCULATING THE 62% NUMBER (see the Accum column in the printout), determine the highest LOW number, without using the low of the Swing horse. This number is designated as the POR (pace of race - Schwartz terminology) So in this case you would see 1A = 91; 7 = 77; 12 = 73. Note that the Swing horse (3) has a 87. There is rule that if the highest low is more than twelve points greater than the other "Early" horse you use another method. Not going there for now.

Compare the highest low POR against the HIGH numbers of only the Early horses and eliminate any horse whose HIGH is less than the POR. This eliminates the 11 since its high is 77, well below the 91.

To more fully understand the entire theory you should go to Dave's website and consider ordering a copy of Early/Late.

The more people that understand this concept the better the chances of adapting and improving it inside the existing RDSS.

all the best,

Bill
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