Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Houndog · 04-13-2006, 07:28 PM

I ran the same race using TPR (Phase 1) exactly as described in Pace Makes the Race. Using the Average Track Variant (17) as in the book and adjusting up or down. The ratings were:

Feel the Wind EPR 88 LPR 87 TPR 175
Little Happy EPR 75 LPR 88 TPR 163
Alpha Capo EPR 87 LPR 85 TPR 172
Cajole EPR 75 LPR 85 TPR 160
Count Orange EPR 81 LPR 86 TPR 167 Sprint projected to route
Count Orange EPR 81 LPR 86 TPR 167 Using the actual sprint line and subtracting 5 points from the EPR rating as the book said. They are both the same.

Anyhow Cajole won, Alpha placed, and Count showed. Feel the Wind did not fire. I am not saying TPR is not good, but was just demonstrating how the manual adjustment in Energy can work when true-contenders are entered.

04-13-2006, 07:28 PM	#21
Houndog Grade 1 Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 1,258	Same Race Using TPR I ran the same race using TPR (Phase 1) exactly as described in Pace Makes the Race. Using the Average Track Variant (17) as in the book and adjusting up or down. The ratings were: Feel the Wind EPR 88 LPR 87 TPR 175 Little Happy EPR 75 LPR 88 TPR 163 Alpha Capo EPR 87 LPR 85 TPR 172 Cajole EPR 75 LPR 85 TPR 160 Count Orange EPR 81 LPR 86 TPR 167 Sprint projected to route Count Orange EPR 81 LPR 86 TPR 167 Using the actual sprint line and subtracting 5 points from the EPR rating as the book said. They are both the same. Anyhow Cajole won, Alpha placed, and Count showed. Feel the Wind did not fire. I am not saying TPR is not good, but was just demonstrating how the manual adjustment in Energy can work when true-contenders are entered.