Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Lyster
The double red horse (RR), the horse with the best early position numbers, is only considered dominant if the percentage exceeds 62%.
I have worked 363 races so far with the worst result for the RR horse being at Mnr where 36 out of 48 placed out of the top three places.
Overall, 205 out of 363 (56.5%) have finished out of the money. So far I have not done any summary by % age to see where there might be a break or dent for the ITM finishes.
The distribution so far is 59 first, 59 second, 38 third, 34 fourth and 171 other
That it for now...
Bill
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Hi Bill,
Much thanks for this information. One question that it suggested to me was whether the results for the RR horse are correlated with those of any of the contenders- presumably E1 or E2. Not trying to create more work for you, but I would be curious to see if it's possible to isolate the value of 'E' dominance, in itself.
One other very interesting thing about these results - win and place probability are identical. This is very different from my results with TE, where the place probability was almost exactly .5 for both place and show. If this is consistent with all the contenders - and the high exacta hit rate suggests it is - maybe this points toward a way to use this feature in conjunction with the Sartin primary factors.
Cheers,
B Jennet