Quote:
Originally Posted by Ted Craven
I can't argue with that at all. If we make his Hi SR this year's 106, he's still the POR and he and MMM still the top 2 Early contenders. Let's see if he still runs...
One frailty of the Newpace approach (as currently implemented) is that the sampled range of SRs for smaller populations (say 5 and less pacelines) and thus for younger and typically improving horses can include either poorer past history or superior past history not relevant today. Current condition and form is not assessed in this. Which is why I tend to favour older horses with fuller histories. Even then, this can be a bit of a broad-brush approach because of the foregoing.
I'll get around soon to my other analysis.
Ted
|
Ted...this can be a discussion for later on...but when you said that 106 was from THIS year..I said WHAT!!!
as you can in the PP's Uncle Mo's Beyers for his last 2 races this year is 96,95 which is about the same as other entries or worse..but TM has it 106 and towers over the others???
scratching my head
mike