Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - EL2

Ted Craven · 06-29-2011, 04:26 PM

FTL,

You're right. On re-reading, that's what he is saying and I agree it's not useful. I would not have estimated the winner was among the 4 Contenders identified by EL 2.0 / NewPace 90% of the time. And I don't have sufficient volume of records to say what it actually is. But I think it is a very high percentage of the time.

Also, in my experience, although there can sometimes be 6 or 7 different horses when merging the 2 Contender identification methods, more often I find that number is 5 or less. And as stated above, I often don't treat all 4 NewPace contenders as bona-fide Win Contenders.

Ted

06-29-2011, 04:26 PM	#8
Ted Craven Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada Posts: 9,256	FTL, You're right. On re-reading, that's what he is saying and I agree it's not useful. I would not have estimated the winner was among the 4 Contenders identified by EL 2.0 / NewPace 90% of the time. And I don't have sufficient volume of records to say what it actually is. But I think it is a very high percentage of the time. Also, in my experience, although there can sometimes be 6 or 7 different horses when merging the 2 Contender identification methods, more often I find that number is 5 or less. And as stated above, I often don't treat all 4 NewPace contenders as bona-fide Win Contenders. Ted __________________ RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™ Last edited by Ted Craven; 06-29-2011 at 04:36 PM.