08-04-2011, 10:00 PM
|
#4
|
|
AlwNW3X
Join Date: Jan 2011
Posts: 49
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by BJennet
Hi Bill,
Much thanks for the effort involved in compiling these statistics, but as Dave has admitted elsewhere, even 1,500 races is too small a sample for evaluating the effectiveness of handicapping models. There seems to be general agreement among those who have constructed successful handicapping databases, that roughly 2,500 races is the acceptable minimum to create a stable model, and ideally as large a sample as possible. The Law of Large Numbers is for real.
Since I don't have Excel Office, I can't check this data myself, but would be grateful if anyone who does would be willing to post a completely unfiltered 4-contender $Net, similar to what Dave has posted in the previous 'New Pace' thread. And since Dave mentioned 7-1 as the break-even for profit in that thread, I think everyone would be interested in seeing the ROI for all contenders 7-1 and above in this sample.
Also, if anyone has a very large sample of races which include 'New Pace' contenders and results, in a format that can be pasted into a post here, I would be happy to tabulate the results of such a sample myself.
Thanks again, Bill.
Cheers,
B Jennet
|
Hi, wanted to let you know you don't need Excel Office, the file opens just fine with Open Office the free office suite.
|
|
|