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1) My criteria for picking pace lines is to use best of last three comparable.
2) I eliminate down to 5 using line scores, if I have a tie for #5 line score I the use total energy to get rid of the 6th horse.
New pace hit 50% exactas, a return of 460.95 less 600.00 bet for a net loss of 139.05
Top 4 vdc hit 34 or 68% for a return of 891.60 less 600.00 bet for a net profit of 291.60
Boxing the top 3 vdc hit 52% for 621.60 return less 300.00 bet for a net profit of 321.60.
These results look impressive at first glance but I rarely play any exotics and prefer to bet win if two or more of my top three are 4/1 or higher.
The reason for my saying that the results look great is that VDC had a 358.50 exacta and new pace did not. The highest new pace payoff was 120.75.
In my opinion both methods should be researched a lot more and if used The low payoffs below 20.00 should be avoided. There were too many 4.00 to 18.00 payoffs in both 4 horse groups.
I had 14 winners in the 50 races run that paid 10.00 and up. I passed a lot of these 50
because the odds on two or more were too low, alot of 4/5 and 6/5 top rated horses.
My play is concentrated on making a specific dollar amount each day and then quitting for the day. This has been my approach for the last 20 years. I came to this way of playing after losing to much money chasing tri and supers. After seeing how much I was actually spending on the gimmicks, when I could have bet to win and made more in the long run I totally changed my way of playing. This is what works for me, and as my grandmother used to say To each his own.
rmath
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