mikesal57:
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a little work is necessary ..
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I guess you have to be somewhat of a specialist and pick your spots.
The biggest underlying questions that I would have would be the consistency of the method being used and if in fact, it is worthy of ones time and effort.
What works today may not work tomorrow.
A long run analyses of a track broken down by concurrent meets over a 5 year period may prove or disprove the validity of this method.
As far as I am led to believe no one has done this yet and those that can, won't.
I would venture to say and this would only be my guess that the 4 horse exotics would fail as well as the 4 horse win selections.
If in fact I were wrong and the overall picture showed a profit in either category, I would further guess that the resultant profit, if any, would not be worth ones time.
Of course, this is only my opinion and I would not want to discourage or break anyone's bubble.
I guess one has to bite the bullet and find out for themselves.