Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Bill Lyster · 08-23-2011, 08:33 PM

In the 507 race sample only MNR and TAM would probably be considered as smaller or minor. the best results came from the first version of NP 34/48 wins at MNR and 42/50 at TAM

KEE hit 48/56 and AQU 50/61 as some of the best of the larger tracks, but be aware that hit rates where fields are smaller should be better just from a numbers standpoint (pointedly AQU). This would make KEE a standout.

OP hit 39/50.

The rest of the tracks studied hit about 2/3rds. Also no apparent bias between dirt or synth tracks.

Bill

08-23-2011, 08:33 PM	#34
Bill Lyster Grade 1 Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Escondido CA just 25 minutes from where the turf meets the surf - "...at Del Mar" Posts: 2,491	larger vs smaller tracks In the 507 race sample only MNR and TAM would probably be considered as smaller or minor. the best results came from the first version of NP 34/48 wins at MNR and 42/50 at TAM KEE hit 48/56 and AQU 50/61 as some of the best of the larger tracks, but be aware that hit rates where fields are smaller should be better just from a numbers standpoint (pointedly AQU). This would make KEE a standout. OP hit 39/50. The rest of the tracks studied hit about 2/3rds. Also no apparent bias between dirt or synth tracks. Bill