Thanks again Richard!
One thing to remember regarding V/DC: there are frequently
tied ranks, e.g. 2 horses ranked 1, or 2 horses ranked 2 or 3, etc. Up to 50% of the time? This makes direct comparisons to factors which always have discreet ranks (such as Total Energy, or NewPace) a little more fuzzy.
So, it might make this V/DC related study a bit clearer to know how you dealt with those ties when counting the number of #1s and#2s etc.
For example, how would V/DC in this race be ranked in your tabulation process?
Attachment 23563
Bye the bye, this race is a
perfect example illustrating the distinction Doc tried to make between
ranks and
tiers. The #1 and #6 are in the same exact
tier, both for BL/BL and for V/DC (the display order is goverened by the Total Energy tie-breaker) and should be considered
equal on our odds line. The idea is to break these ties (if you must) according to bet-time odds. The 3rd listed #5 horse is effectively equal to the top 2.
Eliminate a low odds horse (from Win betting) below a certain threshold if it does not justify its public odds, compared to your betting line. The #1 at 3/2 (1.4 - 1) is no better (though also no worse) than the other horses in our top 3. For Win, we are offered better odds on the net of the #6 and #5, and the #6 should also be bet to Place as well. The #1 belongs in an Exacta box.
I believe these instructions (more or less) will also be found among Doc's words written in Follow Ups #70 and forward.
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