[Bill Lyster]

2011 Delmar ONLY, 163 races through August 28th WITH filters:

Hid all route horses away 75 days; hid all sprint horses away 95 days
Hid all horses with ML odds of 20:1 or greater.
Hid all horses without a race or workout in 40 days - but there weren't any!!
No more than 2 FTS in maiden races; no more than 2 foreign horses making first start in States.

[Interesting info from Delmar website handicapping data. From 2007 to 2010 93% of route winners returned in 77 days or less; 92% of sprint winners returned in 88 days or less; 92.2% of turf route winners returned in 81 days or less; ONLY 83% of turf sprint winners returned in 145 days or less!]

Hid horses but only down to five contenders. Used top 5 TE unless horse was top three VDC rated; kept the top 3 VDC rated no matter their TE rank.

With remaining lowest ranked horses looked at both TE and DCL info.

In these 163 races there were 28 instances where the top 4 VDC had 5 horses, so about 1 out of every 6 races as many as 5 horses. I did not record rating ties so if three horses were #1 VDC I entered the data in my results table according to TE.


Results: Betting or boxing all top 4 VDC contenders

Wins: 136, avg odds 5.25:1, avg $2 mutual : $12.51; ROI 27.4%
Exactas: 96 , $1 Exacta average $33.53; ROI 60.6%
Trifectas: 59 , $1 Trifecta average $194.81; ROI 186.8%
Superfectas: 21 , $1 Superfecta average $511.90; ROI 173.1%


Good luck to all of you---