Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

rmath · 09-06-2011, 03:35 PM

Ted, I went back and checked the races where I had a tie for top and found that the 0.0 % horse beat the other tie over 75 % of the time.
The use of the percentile ratings appears to be a good way to separate ties.
I was going to ask Bill V. if he got similar results when he had ties in the top rated position?
I am now recording these rankings along with the VDC rankings to get a more accurate read on ties. Also noticed that if the 0.0% does not win, it places more often than the other tied horse.
I have also noticed that a second or third VDC horse at times will have a lower % difference than a higher rated Vdc horse. Example a 3 vdc has .9% and a 2vdc might have a 1.4% . So would this imply that the 3rd ranked horse is actually better than the 2nd ranked horse?

09-06-2011, 03:35 PM	#3
rmath Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 1,676	Vdc ties Ted, I went back and checked the races where I had a tie for top and found that the 0.0 % horse beat the other tie over 75 % of the time. The use of the percentile ratings appears to be a good way to separate ties. I was going to ask Bill V. if he got similar results when he had ties in the top rated position? I am now recording these rankings along with the VDC rankings to get a more accurate read on ties. Also noticed that if the 0.0% does not win, it places more often than the other tied horse. I have also noticed that a second or third VDC horse at times will have a lower % difference than a higher rated Vdc horse. Example a 3 vdc has .9% and a 2vdc might have a 1.4% . So would this imply that the 3rd ranked horse is actually better than the 2nd ranked horse?