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brings great memory. Handicapping football isn't that different from horse racing. The human element is in play as well.......
you start to handicap after 4 games into the season, 4 games are sufficient to have a pulse on the teams OFF, DEF and Spec Team. Injuries should carefullly scrutinized.
A model should be kept for the OFF, DEF and Spec Team as such:
PF=Points for
PA=Point against
YF=Yards for
YA=Yards against
FDO=First down offense
FDD=First down defense
and there are more factors like minutes, punts field goals, 2 points attempt etc...etc...
Few angles do develop during the season, the Monday night home dog was a good one, I don't know if is still in use.
One bookie doesn't help you need at least 4 of them, you need to shop around for the best line. Don't play exotics just play the line, no totals.
No final score will ever end like 14.5 to 21.5....the half point is scam...how many times you lost by half point....duh!
Remember the juice will kill you you can only win, if you are able to split the line like this:
Team A -1
Team B +3
bet both team and if Team A wins by 2 points you won both bets. In football rarely happens, but in basketball....Ca---cing
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