Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - BEL 10-15-11 Race-1

alydar_ David · 10-15-2011, 01:13 PM

You picked a hard race, Bill.

#4 Joey's Chance is in decent form and has the best turf sprint of all in his past performances (if you consider AQU mile a sprint, which I do).

#12 Winaholic has the best last race on the turf, but it was all the way back in February and at 8.5 furlongs. Also, it's a campaign horse with multiple layoffs. I'm not fond of campaign horses.

I could name others with a chance, but I'm sure you know who they are.

I don't think SP has too much weight here, but I might be mistaken as I don't have records for Belmont. In any event I'm going with FW.

Joey's trainer and jockey are unimpressive on the lawn, but at 8-1 I'm willing to take a shot.

Joey it is.

10-15-2011, 01:13 PM	#2
alydar_ David Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 2,654	You picked a hard race, Bill. #4 Joey's Chance is in decent form and has the best turf sprint of all in his past performances (if you consider AQU mile a sprint, which I do). #12 Winaholic has the best last race on the turf, but it was all the way back in February and at 8.5 furlongs. Also, it's a campaign horse with multiple layoffs. I'm not fond of campaign horses. I could name others with a chance, but I'm sure you know who they are. I don't think SP has too much weight here, but I might be mistaken as I don't have records for Belmont. In any event I'm going with FW. Joey's trainer and jockey are unimpressive on the lawn, but at 8-1 I'm willing to take a shot. Joey it is.