Thread: Sa 10/16
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Old 10-18-2011, 06:10 PM   #6
BJennet
Grade 1
 
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 311
Agree

Quote:
Originally Posted by mikesal57 View Post
Bill..All I could say is to take note from now on of the horse that has the lead at the first 2 calls and see where he falls on the bl/bl chart.
I'm sure most of the time hes not at the top.

mike
Hi Mike,

As I said above, I think the 3 would have taken this, had it not been pulled up, but I agree with your general point. Regardless of race dynamics, track bias, or ability (TE) of the competition, a horse with a huge early lead can sometimes steal races. I've found an SC advantage of 1.5 fps over all competitors to be the difference - less, and they usually don't hang on. Hit a 13-1 shot at CRC yesterday with this angle.

Cheers,

B Jennet
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