| Rverge | dick mitchell and mark creamer talked-video-wrote about this in there books and dvds. I think one maybe now has to lower there min. odds from eg. 4-1 to 5-2 or so. as mitchell has wrote:"why leave money on the table". and creamer states (para) "tough watching your 6/5 cross the finish first w/ no money on the horse"
just thinking parts |
| Rverge | dick mitchell and mark creamer talked-video-wrote about this in there books and dvds. I think one maybe now has to lower there min. odds from eg. 4-1 to 5-2 or so. as mitchell has wrote:"why leave money on the table". and creamer states (para) "tough watching your 6/5 cross the finish first w/ no money on the horse"
just thinking parts |
Rverge:
Quote:
dick mitchell and mark creamer talked-video-wrote about this in there books and dvds. I think one maybe now has to lower there min. odds from eg. 4-1 to 5-2 or so. as mitchell has wrote:"why leave money on the table". and creamer states (para) "tough watching your 6/5 cross the finish first w/ no money on the horse"
just thinking parts
|
Hi John,
What I have found and have read is that If you consider the risk versus reward aspect and the consistency one would have to have in order to maintain 6/5 shots, you will soon see that over the long run this would be a borderline break even or a losing play.
There are some that believe that the high odds "value" horses are the way to go.
Recently, I have been watching a few videos from "Full Card Reports" an advertiser on this site whose system advocates playing pricey overlays or value horses from a prescribed and select type of race. There were certain aspects of these sheets that peaked my interest. The videos as I see it are taken out of context and does not offer enough consistency on a given day or over time at a specific or single track, to maintain a positive ROI.
It seems to be a hit or miss affair where the provider singles out a few races that paid big from all conceivable tracks running on a given day. It's like someone stacking the deck or making the pieces of the puzzle fit.
Additionally, in order to achieve the proported success rate the provider
claims to have achieved, one would need have an abnormal amount of money (as far as I'm concerned) in each and every playable race.
The bottom line is that one has to feel comfortable playing within an odds range where his or her hit rate maintains a positive ROI.
As far as I'm concerned, there is is no fixed odds number. It's what you achieve on average. So,on occasion, betting on a short priced horse can be warranted if you are reasonably certain and feel this horse will not be beaten. Most of us would rather pass this type of race.
I would not recommend a steady diet of these type bets.
I would recommend playing within your comfort zone. You will soon find out where your successful betting range is.
There is software available that can track this for you.