Thread: Pace Line
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Old 11-02-2011, 02:45 AM   #4
For The Lead
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Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 1,292
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V. View Post
Here are lines 1 and 2 isolated

Line 1 startsout slower but over takes line 2 in the 3rd fraction
Attachment 24497
Attachment 24498

Its a close finish

Attachment 24499
Bill, today's race is 7 furlongs on the dirt, so we would only be interested in 6 races on the page, which are the 6 sprint races on the dirt.

The route races on the turf are good for one thing and that is to note that while the horse was running at a higher class level in those races, on a different surface and at longer distances, it was maintaining its' form. The horse was very much in contention at the second call in each of those 4 races. Ok, back to the 6 sprint races on the dirt.

You expressed concern over the line 2 speed rating of "87". Well let's look at all 6 of those lines. The speed ratings are 87,83,81,77,75,73. Naturally, the three best speed ratings produced the three highest TE's for the horse. Those three TE's are 2 points apart. And the top two TE's are just .6 points apart and those two races are the two races the horse won. So is line 2 really out of line?
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