[For The Lead]

[QUOTE=DaveEdwards;75074

As things currently stand if I select a paceline that subsequently points to the winner I am then able to note which corollaries were dominant, but in the horses previous race. This horse may have actually ran a slightly different race when winning where different corollaries may have been dominant, but this of course is difficult to ascertain, well for me right now at least!

Thank you.[/QUOTE]

An excellent observation.

Now let me propose the opposite.

Suppose you knew with some degree of certainty that winners run their races in a certain way. The challenge now becomes, finding the horse(s) from their previous PP's that will run that way today. Again, you can't be "sure" they will run that way today. Anything can happen on the track that may cause the horse to alter its' normal style.

In Tom Brohamers book, Modern Pace Handicapping, he talks about the number of contenders you should have in a race before putting that race in your model. The reason being, if you have the race down to just 1,2 or 3 contenders, all of these horses are going to have rankings of ones, twos or threes. It really doesn't tell you much when you look at these ranking down the road. He suggests you cash your ticket on the winner and not enter the race in your models. He suggests that you have at least 5 horses as contenders before you enter the race in your models. With at least that many contenders, it is more meaningful when later on you see that a horse with an early ranking of 5 and a late ranking of 1 or 2, demonstrating that is was able to come from far back. Likewise, a horse with an early ranking of 1 and a late ranking of 5, demonstrates that it was a dominant early horse. So why this example?

Don't overly concern yourself with the difference between how the horse appears in the PP's vs how the horse actually ran in the race. Cash your ticket and move on. You did your job. You identified the winner by the information you had prior to the race. You can't be accountable for how the race unfolded on the track.