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If the two runs to line 3 - 46.8-111.5 and with the ability to fight and win doing 111.5 - he wins in a walk. At this pace the 3 and the 5 will be far back and farther back.
The 7 has been pressing in sprints lately and lines 1 and 3 project faster than the 3, but the 7 has not won a route on the lead or run a reasonably fast time in a route, so I am going to down play the projected times, but the 7 should be closest of the pressers and will be one of my exotic plays.
The 1, 4, and 6 cannot run against this pace so the logical winner other than the 2 is someone who can run from 4th or farther back and I would favor the 3 over the 5.
Primary pick 2, boxed with 3 and 7 in exacta and trifecta.
Good luck and better skill,
Bill
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