Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

SilentRun · 11-16-2011, 02:34 PM

Mike,

Thanks for presenting this,,,I think that this is a good study but if I understand this correctly... if the conditions described were met and the exacta probables at or near post time was at least $12 (break-even) which included the favorite plus 2 other New Pace horses. After 87 races there was a profit of $227.20 (327.20 -50). This may appear redundant but I am not clear on the following:

Re: RDSS

For the other 2 New Pace horses in the exacta must they also be RDSS
contenders ?

OR was the other 2 NP horses chosen based on the highest exacta payoff ?

As an aside, as far as the favorite is concerned I read that the favorite runs in-the-money in approximately 60% of all races regardless of distance, surface and track condition.

Thanks,

Ernie

11-16-2011, 02:34 PM	#2
SilentRun Grade 1 Aspiree Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 678	Mike, Thanks for presenting this,,,I think that this is a good study but if I understand this correctly... if the conditions described were met and the exacta probables at or near post time was at least $12 (break-even) which included the favorite plus 2 other New Pace horses. After 87 races there was a profit of $227.20 (327.20 -50). This may appear redundant but I am not clear on the following: Re: RDSS For the other 2 New Pace horses in the exacta must they also be RDSS contenders ? OR was the other 2 NP horses chosen based on the highest exacta payoff ? As an aside, as far as the favorite is concerned I read that the favorite runs in-the-money in approximately 60% of all races regardless of distance, surface and track condition. Thanks, Ernie