Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

BJennet · 11-17-2011, 01:35 AM

Hi Rich,

Much thanks for this summary. Looks like the hit-rates for RDSS are virtually unchanged, while the ROI keeps improving. However the win probability distribution among NP contenders seems to be favoring E1 and L1 more than before, although the total win probability is unchanged.

Most amazing to me continues to be the ROI of #1 V/DC - even after adjusting for the take, it's producing a flat-bet profit of 1.22. I would guess that using a 5/2 minimum, that ROI might come close to doubling. If anyone is looking for a simple betting metric, this is it.

Thanks again for all your work.

Cheers,

B Jennet

11-17-2011, 01:35 AM	#40
BJennet Grade 1 Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 311	Thanks, Rich Hi Rich, Much thanks for this summary. Looks like the hit-rates for RDSS are virtually unchanged, while the ROI keeps improving. However the win probability distribution among NP contenders seems to be favoring E1 and L1 more than before, although the total win probability is unchanged. Most amazing to me continues to be the ROI of #1 V/DC - even after adjusting for the take, it's producing a flat-bet profit of 1.22. I would guess that using a 5/2 minimum, that ROI might come close to doubling. If anyone is looking for a simple betting metric, this is it. Thanks again for all your work. Cheers, B Jennet