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Cd #11
I see an honest but not overly fast pace here with the 10 early; 5 and 11 E/P; and 2, 12, and 13 as P types.
I think the pace will go something like the 10 horse's race 5 back at Saratoga which is 47.7 1:11.4.
The 5, 11, and 13 came out of a tandem at KEE which the 11 dominated. The pace in that race went 47.2 1:11.4 which the 11 had shown in other races.
I see the contenders here as the 1, 6, and 11. I'll put the 10 in there for pace purposes.
1: This horse won at 12F in a slow pace. Against faster paces, not as good. Out.
6: Sits 4th or 5th but against slower paces. Out.
10: Failed against 47.7 1:11.4. at SAR. Out.
11: Has handled the pace he will see today more than once.
The 11 is my choice.
Tim
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