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Parx #3
Nice race Bill. This race is tougher than it looks on the surface. Thanks for putting it up.
Here we go:
The speed horses are the 2 and 6. Most of the time when I have two early horses, one of them wins. I might be out thinking myself this time but I think the pace will be slow and the race will be won by an S type who runs well against a slow pace.
1: Late runner. OUT. Hasn't won against slow paces.
2: E/P type. I'm going against this horse.
3: S type. Too far back in sprints.
4: S type. 5th or 6th position at 1st call in sprints. Too far back. Out.
5: S type. 4th position vs 23.2. Close enough. Contender.
6: E type. Needs to be loose against slow fractions at 1st call. Has not run well against fast paces in sometime. Out.
7: S type. Sat third vs. 22.9 in last and 4th vs. 23.1 9 back. Contender.
Since the 2 and 6 do not break in the 1st and 2nd position regularly, I think the pace will go about 23.0 at the first call. The 7 will be the closest and can run in the third fraction.
I pick the 7 to win.
Tim
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