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Right-o, Jim. Consider posting a few more like this, perhaps seeking guidance on murkier decision points you encounter. The answers will not always be absolutely clear, but you might get (several alternate) suggestions re process to help you make consistent decisions.
It really is all about making consistent decisions: these tools help perform fancy calculations, display alternate scenarios, reveal hidden information, but there's always plenty of unknowns in a horse race, not only on the analysis side but on the wager decision side. You may ultimately make your decisions differently than me - and win and lose different races than me (and all the rest of us), but if you apply them on a consistent basis, your hit rate, your ROI will presumably reveal a gradual positive trend, and your decision model records will point to factors derived from your specific paceline and contender elimination strategies which you can use to guide you when doing new races - if you employ repeatable strategies.
Good luck!
Ted
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RDSS - Racing Decision Support System™
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