Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post - Question

rmath · 12-13-2011, 05:00 PM

Ted, your assumption is correct that when one of the ties was a binder improver that it paid quite well. most of the horses that were tied also ranked 1 or 2 on BL/BL and were not binder improver horses. When a 4 or 5 ranked BL/BL horse was also ranked 1 Vdc then that was where the % ranks did not hold up as well.
This is why I do not use the % rankings any more. The payoffs did not justify the extra record keeping.
AT the present time I am using the Monty approach with a combination of VDC, New Pace and a home grown SR&class ranking. What I have found is that when RDSS and my SR/class rankings are both in the top two and the horse or horses are also one of the New Pace contenders then I am hitting the winner over 65 +% depending on the track that I am running.I have not been able to separate the New Pace numbers down to a 1,2,ranking.
With this approach I get a one horse bet about 35 to 40% of the time and two horses the rest of the time.In the last 175 races I have only had three horses
7 times because of a tie. In these races I had the winner 6 times and ran 2nd in the other.

12-13-2011, 05:00 PM	#4
rmath Grade 1 Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 1,676	vdc% Ted, your assumption is correct that when one of the ties was a binder improver that it paid quite well. most of the horses that were tied also ranked 1 or 2 on BL/BL and were not binder improver horses. When a 4 or 5 ranked BL/BL horse was also ranked 1 Vdc then that was where the % ranks did not hold up as well. This is why I do not use the % rankings any more. The payoffs did not justify the extra record keeping. AT the present time I am using the Monty approach with a combination of VDC, New Pace and a home grown SR&class ranking. What I have found is that when RDSS and my SR/class rankings are both in the top two and the horse or horses are also one of the New Pace contenders then I am hitting the winner over 65 +% depending on the track that I am running.I have not been able to separate the New Pace numbers down to a 1,2,ranking. With this approach I get a one horse bet about 35 to 40% of the time and two horses the rest of the time.In the last 175 races I have only had three horses 7 times because of a tie. In these races I had the winner 6 times and ran 2nd in the other.