Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

sq764 · 12-24-2011, 01:16 PM

So what is the opinion on NOT using the last line? I'll give 2 scenarios and would be curious as to some opinions from the veterans:

Scenario 1: Horse's last 3 or 4 races are routes and this is a sprint, but the speed ratings are in line with his prior sprints.. Would you use the last line? the last sprint line?

Scenario 2: Horse's last 4 races are SR of 82, 79, 81 and last race is 64.. Would you use the 64? Consider maybe he's tailing off? Or would you revert to 2 back because that is more representative?

12-24-2011, 01:16 PM	#1
sq764 AlwNW3X Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 45	Question on when to NOT use last line So what is the opinion on NOT using the last line? I'll give 2 scenarios and would be curious as to some opinions from the veterans: Scenario 1: Horse's last 3 or 4 races are routes and this is a sprint, but the speed ratings are in line with his prior sprints.. Would you use the last line? the last sprint line? Scenario 2: Horse's last 4 races are SR of 82, 79, 81 and last race is 64.. Would you use the 64? Consider maybe he's tailing off? Or would you revert to 2 back because that is more representative?