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shoe, without knowing too much about the distance or how Tampa runs Say does have the F1, F2, and SC dream fractions. If his percent median is in excess of 70% that may be cause for concern. If he gets out to an easy lead he may be able to conserve some of that early energy and translate it to the later stages of the race. This is where your Brohamer model and a track profile would be beneficial. You could establish percent median parameters to get a range of what winners do here.
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