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Thanks everyone for your thoughts on this thread.
Gl45, did you carry out any kind of comparative work in order to assess how the results, particularly the BL element compared to how you had expected the race to run?
Bill V, I was thinking about your Parx data today & seeing Richie’s post perhaps got me thinking about the impact of the Match Up on data of this sort. (Richie thanks for the steer on those distances, brilliant stuff).
As far as the Match Up of horses is concerned I was really starting to wonder if a race sets up as E or OTE what the impact of this might be on an exercise in compiling comparative data. I’m more thinking aloud here as I have no idea about this until I look, but I’m thinking that there could potentially be an impact on the E/L differential depending on race set up. Perhaps even if there is, the averaging of a number of races may very well smooth out any “noise” within the data leading to your figures Bill.
Plenty of food for thought. Will need to sleep on this one.
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