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Old 03-17-2012, 01:49 AM   #7
pktruckdriver
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Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
Okay here goes a little at midnight.

The most obvious choice is the 8 horse, hard to see how this one loses, but it does not need to win to make the Derby, so it could try something different, or better yet Bounce

That brings me to who may have bounced last out, the 4 horse is the likely canidate, and also gets new rider, Robby Albarado, not sure this is best thou, as Channing Hill is deciding to ride Assmussen's 2 horse, also a horse who may have had a very troubled trip last out, with Hill aboard, so it will need a major improvement to be competetive here, as a 100 speed rating may be needed here, elimanting the 2 horse for me.

So who can run a 100, maybe the following 3, 4, 8, and 12 have done so already.

6 and 10 horse can improve mildly and be there too!

That leaves the 7 horse who is a horse never really having to fight too hard or run too fast , winning it's last 3 races, thou the speed figs are really low compared to the others in here, could it improve 30 points today, I think not , but this is 3 yr olds, so maybe

The last horse to be considered here is the 11, and on a winning streak at OP helps and has Calvin on board and also working him too, may want to check out how the rail is doing here, and can he improve enough to run a 100+ speed fig, yeah he can.

Best works 11, 6, 4 and both 1's, but who uses this anymore, me.

I am totally confused here, as 4,3,8, win contender's

6,7 11,12 all definetely under neath and maybe cleaning up a speed duel.

Will look again before race to see if any scratches and see how I see it in the morning

Now below you see 2 different paceline scenario's, 1 being last line and the other best of last 3 , sorta
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