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Old 08-02-2012, 10:43 AM   #9
partsnut
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ted Craven View Post
I do want to respond to the originally stated query, about CT 07/28 R9. But I'm afraid I don't understand specifically what the question is. Could someone please restate it here, with as many specifics as possible. Horses Adjusted times too fast? Which lines again, and what is the number that is too fast?

Please remember that in RDSS, the Adjusted times, AND all the velocities and subsequent factors which derive from them ARE NOT BEING RUN AT THE HOST TRACK (e.g. CT here) - THEY ARE BEING RUN AT A NORMALIZED, HYPOTHETICAL TRACK (call it Sartin Downs). CT (and each different distance at CT) has an inter-track differential from Sartin Downs, DMR has a different inter-track differential from Sartin Downs, so does Hastings and Evangeline and Boise, etc. We could adjust all the different tracks and distances to TODAY'S track instead of to the HYPOTHETICAL norm track - but we don't. Same difference, except when people look at an Adjusted Call times and say horses don't typically run that fast (or that slow, whichever) at that track. True - they don't, but they're not running (in the program readouts) at that track.

It's understandable, but don't worry about it. I believe you could get similarly 'unrealistic' velocities showing up in Synergism depending on whatever Setup times you chose to adjust by.

To the extent that the adjustment system may be part of the original query raised by Jeff, the foregoing is my orientation, and it is similar (if not redundant) to the explanation given by Bill V.

Not to sidetrack a potentially valuable explanatory discussion, but the RDSS result (even using the auto paceline selector with Config defaults), worked out pretty well and, at least in this case, is a validation of the adjustment system:

Attachment 28796

Attachment 28797

Anyway, if I can still answer specific questions about the adjustments used in that race, I will try to help.

cheers,

Ted
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Ted,

I have no fault with the adjusted lines other then the fact that they projected abnormal 2nd call times and for those that try and project how the pace will run, could have disastrous results because the readings do not relate to the actual track you are trying to handicap. For me, "Sartin Downs" does not come into play when projecting how the pace should run at a given track.

You analysis screen did a great job.

As I see it, the original lines would be good enough for conversion as opposed to the adjusted lines because Synergism is self compensating and will equalize the lines.
I have also concluded that Synergism 4 might be a better option then Synergism 3.
Synergism 4 gives one the option to use Beyer type numbers.

Last edited by partsnut; 08-02-2012 at 10:49 AM.
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