Quote:
Originally Posted by pktruckdriver
Ted I am thinking about this and was wondering to myuself before this race was run if I should have bet my plays as place wagers due to the higher odds, why because I truly felt that my picks were more likely place wagers, or a 2nd and 3rd place horse, otherwise filling in the exotics.
I notice that when you make your screen shots you have it split into contenders and non-contenders, which basically means who can win and who will not , I don't do that , I hide non-contenders instead of keeping them on screen.
Should reconsider this?
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Patrick,
You should reduce the horse showing on your Analysis screens to only those which can win the race (i.e.
4 or 5 maximum). This removes the
noise from the readouts and most times places the 2 or 3 horses which can actually win in the top ranks of whatever readout you favour, but especially the BL/BL screen.
If you intend to bet an exacta or a place bet including horses you believe will NOT win but can finish in the money, your choice is to either remove them completely from the Analysis screens then find a way to not forget about them - OR, group them as Secondary Contenders so they appear in front of your eyes in a different grouping. The remaining horses in the upper Primary group are the 4 or 5 you believe can actually win and are ranked only among themselves.
Try this for 20 races and see if it gives you greater clarity. Don't forget about the part where, despite the relative rankings of the horses, you determine if they have demonstrated the recent form to actually Win today against the competition; they may not be world beaters, but they only have to beat today's competition. In the above race, you have to admit that some of those horses in your list are really unlikely candidates to Win.
cheers,
Ted