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Old 10-17-2012, 04:28 PM   #47
pktruckdriver
Grade 1
 
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Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Saratoga Springs
Posts: 1,547
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ted Craven View Post
Patrick,

Keenland Race 4 for 2 YOs had 3 First Time Starters, and the rest had 1 or 2 lines (one had 3 lines). Using an energy-oriented program like RDSS, you have VERY little info to go on in races like this - and the 3 FTS represent at least some kind of a risk of an unknown popping up (which the #6 did at $71.20). When using RDSS, I recommend NOT playing races with more than 2 FTS (unless you have to: Contest, horizontal bet) and being extra careful with a group of very lightly races 2 YO Maidens. You may indeed win a few of these races at good prices, but be prepared to lose a high percentage of them.

Why not consider picking a distance and surface (say, short routes, dirt; or medium sprints), and specializing in those until you can get the winner in your top 5 of that specialty 90% of the time. Don't just accept the automatic numbers blindly: hone your skill at identifying (at least a lot of the time) if a horse can Win the race or finish close, then include ONLY those horses among your Top 5 BLBL.

You are welcomed to send me the RDSS export spreadsheet of your next 20 races and I'll be happy to comment, if you like.

Ted
Okay, will do this soon, let me do 1 more race and be gone today, thank you for your help, sorry for me losing like this, but I am not discouraged, why should I , I am a winner and will win plenty again soon!!!
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