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Old 11-05-2012, 05:36 AM   #3
Jonathan Steele
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: New Jersey, USA
Posts: 471
Quote:
Originally Posted by BrandonG View Post
The next technique I have used is Projected Power Fractions which Mike Pizzola utilized in his book Handicapping Magic. Its a bit different, take the ex. race I just gave u. Pizzola would give the same horse a final fraction time (or PPF) of 26.1. Now it may seem it doesn't make much difference which method u use, but believe me...it does. Some of the horses you select as contenders in the race may have superior actual final frac times if computed by Lehane's method (wherein u credit for lgths gained in the ff), but the same horse may have inferior numbers if computed by Pizzola's "projected power fractions" method b/c he adds (or penalizes) the horse's FF time by the no. of lgths behind at the 2d call.
According to Pizzolla, the PPF rating is most useful in turf routes and Heavy Pressure races, i.e., races with lots of (projected) early speed, which should favor closers if the race, indeed, is run that way.


Quote:
Originally Posted by BrandonG View Post
I have my own (hybrid of "traditional" methods used by Brohammer, Jim Bradshaw, Pizzola, Lehane, Sartin, Talbout, etc).
Ditto. You left out Boxcar's Handicapping Methodology.

Regards,

Jon
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Last edited by Jonathan Steele; 11-05-2012 at 05:47 AM.
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