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Old 01-04-2013, 10:30 PM   #5
Ted Craven
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 9,258
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mrbill View Post
Ted - thanks for the info here, but I have another question. How are horse with dissimilar distances handled? For example, the 7th race at Aqueduct this coming Saturday (1-5-13) has two horses that haven't run at route distances. Can you shed some insight on this for me?

Thanks,
Mr Bill
Bill,

Comparing sprints to short routes, the first 2 call times are all at the same distances (2f and 4f) so you can compare Projected Pace for the mix of sprinters and routers here.

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The clear E horse, the #2 sprinter appears to own much of the first 2 factions (RAW) as neither the #1, #3 or #6 appear to offer much of a challenge at the front end through 4f. The #4 faces the same or superior early call times as the #2, but will NOT be challenging the #2 for the lead.

I wish the #2 had shown more Late energy disbursement (L/ep, LPR, FX) - any sign that it can stretch out to ~8f. So, it's unknown what it will do past 6f. It will likely conserve some energy from facing less pressure early than shown, but who knows if it's enough to last against a consistent closer and late horse like the #1.

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But, re Projected Pace, you can compare early points of call in sprints versus short routes (< 9f).

Was that your question?

Ted
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