Pace and Cap - Sartin Methodology & The Match Up - View Single Post

Dorianmode · 02-21-2013, 08:13 AM

Have been thinking about this lately, especially about the (increasingly fewer) mistakes one makes after one is fairly successful. When I used to lose a race, I used to feel a certain "shame", or confusion, and think "what did I do wrong here ?", (being a "perfectionist"). I do still look at each loss to see if I would have done something differently, in retrospect, however, more and more the anwer is "no". "I looked at everything the way I should have, and did the best I can". You can get all muddled up in trying to see how EVERY race could be won, yet that is actually shooting yourself in the foot, as it's the majority of races, and the long term, the majority patterns, and NOT THE EXCEPTIONS, that are important. There are going to be some losses, and as long as one's own stats, and Kelly advantage numbers are maintained in terms of pay-off required for your win %, I now also no longer "agonize" over the losses, and just move on. You learn that your win proficiency will hold you in good stead, in the long run, and just move on, after you have experienced a measure of succcess, and your confidence increases. (For example I used to be terrified of large field/complex turf route races. Now I look at them as fun "puzzles".)
But excellent points, folks.

02-21-2013, 08:13 AM	#3
Dorianmode always learning Join Date: Jul 2011 Location: Minneapolis / Rancho Santa Fe Posts: 277	Thanks for this .. Have been thinking about this lately, especially about the (increasingly fewer) mistakes one makes after one is fairly successful. When I used to lose a race, I used to feel a certain "shame", or confusion, and think "what did I do wrong here ?", (being a "perfectionist"). I do still look at each loss to see if I would have done something differently, in retrospect, however, more and more the anwer is "no". "I looked at everything the way I should have, and did the best I can". You can get all muddled up in trying to see how EVERY race could be won, yet that is actually shooting yourself in the foot, as it's the majority of races, and the long term, the majority patterns, and NOT THE EXCEPTIONS, that are important. There are going to be some losses, and as long as one's own stats, and Kelly advantage numbers are maintained in terms of pay-off required for your win %, I now also no longer "agonize" over the losses, and just move on. You learn that your win proficiency will hold you in good stead, in the long run, and just move on, after you have experienced a measure of succcess, and your confidence increases. (For example I used to be terrified of large field/complex turf route races. Now I look at them as fun "puzzles".) But excellent points, folks.