Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill V.
I would have won if I used line 4  LOL
No really I lost this race. I did not enter a line for the winner # 4
I alone did not win this race. Why? because of my pace line selections
I welcome any advice on how I could have done better on this one.
Looking to help and looking to learn.
Attachment 34738
Attachment 34739
Thanks Dlivery
|
Great to see all the comments from many members posting and sharing their insights and perspective about the outcome of this race. We can all learn after the fact...
I missed this race as I had ended up with Top Kisser since he was the #1L/EP and #1 Hidden energy in Bill V.'s readouts. Thanks to the contributions by Bill Lyster, I can see how I might have approach this race in the future. I could have looked more in depth, the E/L differential Graph. Great posts by the way, Bill L.!!
My second contender was Appealing.
I ended up with this as a contender because I thought that this was the third race off the layoff. I thought that the last paceline was her early speed race and the 2nd paceline back was her route race where she ran late. She had the traditional prep races of two sprints into the route race. I thought that she could have continue to improve. But it was not in the cards.
Regarding the winner, Closing Range.
That 4th paceline back was a strong paceline to evaluate, even with the puns intended.
Any horse that can come home under 24 seconds running a mile and a half on turf is a strong contender. We can all see with our eyes that a great mile time of 1:33 or 1:34. What is not so obvious is the apparent soft fractions of the early pace but with a strong last fraction.
I have seen Grade 1 marathon runners who can run the last fractions under 23.0 for marathon races.
The last paceline for Closing Range was a prep race to train the horse to come from off the pace. A lot of trainers aim for big meets. Del Mar is a big meet.
Great comments from everyone....